FanBoardHQ

James Madison

James Madison University · 2025 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#22
Efficiency
+9.6
36th FBS
Record
12-2
Conf. record
8-0
Conf. finish
1st
of 14
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James Madison went 12-2 and was ranked 22nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 33rd-ranked defense carried them, with a 44th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 58% of offensive plays with a 45th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with a 61st-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
1-0
Q3
3-0
Q4
8-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Expected: 12.0 wins
Strength of Record
22nd
+0.9 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
88th
full season
88th
CFP committee
#24
FanBoardHQ has them 2 spots higher
Conf. sched. difficulty
130th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Weber StateBig SkyW 4510+36.1100%2.8Q4
2@ LouisvilleACC#29L 1428-4.20%0.4Q1
4@ LibertyConference USA#115W 3113+17.2100%17.2Q4
5vs Georgia SouthernSun Belt#87W 3510+24.1100%10.2Q4
6@ Georgia StateSun Belt#134W 147+26.5100%-8.8Q4
7vs LouisianaSun Belt#100W 2414+24.8100%-6.1Q4
8vs Old DominionSun Belt#37W 6327+4.0100%35.3Q2
10@ Texas StateSun Belt#79W 5220+7.2100%31.6Q3
11@ MarshallSun Belt#96W 3523+13.1100%9.2Q3
12vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#110W 5810+27.0100%18.3Q4
13vs Washington StatePac-12#56W 2420+7.8100%8.2Q3
14@ Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#99W 5910+20.8100%18.8Q4
15vs TroySun Belt#80W 3114+21.5100%3.7Q4
Postseason
@ OregonBig Ten#2L 3451-18.80%-6.4Q1

14 played · 12-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on James Madison, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-5.3+13.3+31.8301710-9-635329188194Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 61st
SR 73rdYPP 49thEPA 63rd
RushingEff 45th
SR 44thYPP 39thEPA 51st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 40th
SR 8thYPP 69thEPA 51st
Rush defenseEff 15th
SR 10thYPP 14thEPA 21st
Dropback rate 42%Tempo -2.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 83rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 32%1st2nd · Offense: 46%2nd · Defense allowed: 30%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 48%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 32%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 99.0Q1 · Allowed: 41.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 110.0Q2 · Allowed: 129.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 135.0Q3 · Allowed: 34.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 139.0Q4 · Allowed: 26.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledJames MadisonOffenseDefense
James Madison Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 44th
+4.0
Field position: +0.5Finishing drives: +3.5
Field position +0.5Finishing drives +3.5= +4.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 39th · Finishing 43rd

Defensive EffRanked 33rd
+5.5
Field position: +0.2Finishing drives: +5.2
Field position +0.2Finishing drives +5.2= +5.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 60th · Finishing 30th

2.73 points per drive on offense, 1.29 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 33.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(235)45% / 55%44%6.5
Q2(246)52% / 48%44%5.6
Q3(256)37% / 63%52%7.1
Q4(234)29% / 71%42%6.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(165)10.345%8.5
2nd(117)8.542%5.7
3rd(108)9.235%6.8
4th(8)4.638%2.5
All (398)41%7.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(270)9.643%5.7
2nd(206)7.149%5.8
3rd(84)5.063%6.9
4th(13)3.962%6.0
All (573)49%5.9

James Madison, all games.